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Precision strike capacity determines who holds the initiative in a contested theater.
Tehran's forces have demonstrated missile resilience that now directly challenges US military positioning, with recent fighting creating conditions for more precision strikes across the Gulf and into Jordan.
The operational mechanism Missile resilience is the variable the source places at the center of this analysis. Tehran maintained its ability to conduct precision strike operations through a period of active combat.
That fighting, the reporting indicates, served as the operational condition that expanded Iranian strike activity rather than constraining it.
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