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The bottleneck in securities-backed lending against private-company equity is the holding-period assumption, the internal variable that governs how much risk a bank takes on when shares carry no public market price and no guaranteed exit.
JPMorgan has moved to shorten that assumed horizon for SpaceX workers and investors, and the bank is now weighing whether to apply the same framework to Anthropic.
A bank extending a securities-backed loan against listed stock can mark the collateral to market daily and exit a position if conditions deteriorate. Private shares offer no such mechanism.
The lender instead assigns an estimated time before the borrower can realistically sell, and that estimate controls how conservatively the product is priced.
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