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Bitcoin CVDD Model Points to $48,000 as Probable Cycle Floor

6/14/2026

The Cumulative Value Days Destroyed model is signaling that $BTC is likely to find its cycle bottom near $48,000, per analysis published by Cryptonews.net.

CVDD — which weights on-chain coin movement by how long those coins were held before moving — is one of the more conservative valuation tools in the analyst toolkit, one that has historically tracked near major bear-market lows rather than mid-cycle corrections.

How CVDD Constructs a Floor Coin Days Destroyed is an on-chain metric that assigns economic weight to dormant coins: a bitcoin held for 300 days accumulates 300 coin days, all of which are destroyed the moment it transacts.

The cumulative version of that figure has been used by analysts to approximate the price level at which long-term holders historically begin to capitulate — the point where patient money finally exits.

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