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Nvidia shares have been struggling, and the weakness may run deeper than the equity tape suggests.
Traders on Kalshi, the regulated prediction market, are now wagering that the prices Nvidia can charge for its chips are heading lower — a directional call that compounds the pressure on the stock.
Kalshi Traders Flag Pricing Risk Prediction markets price probability, not sentiment, which makes the Kalshi signal worth watching.
Traders there are positioning for chip prices to decline — a forward-looking read on Nvidia's revenue ceiling that equity analysts have been slower to price in.
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